Based on its families’ demographics, Mesa County Valley 51 would be expected to rank #54 of 105 Colorado districts, with 39% of students meeting or exceeding expectations in English and 29% in math. It actually ranks #36, with 43% and 35%. That is 4.7 percentage points above what its demographics predict, which ranks it #22 of 105 on performance vs. demographics.
| Subject | Expected | Actual | Over/under (pts) | Rank: predicted → actual | Rank vs. demographics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| English | 39% | 43% | +3.5 ±1.0 | #54 → #40 | #27 |
| Math | 29% | 35% | +5.8 ±2.1 | #54 → #32 | #18 |
Met or exceeded expectations on CMAS, grades 3–8, 2024–2026 combined. District results include district-run neighborhood, choice and magnet schools, but not charter or online schools. ± is a 90% range for normal year-to-year swings.
Growth depends much less on family background than test scores do, so it is the closer measure of what schools add in a given year.
Parents’ education: parents of public-school children (Census ACS 2019–2023, NCES tabulation). For context, not in the prediction: all adults with a bachelor’s degree+ 31%; median household income $71,216.
| School | Met/exceeded Eng / Math | Vs. expected English | Vs. expected Math | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appleton Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 64% / 61% | +11.4 | +11.0 | 58 |
| Scenic Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 65% / 63% | +9.4 | +12.7 | 64 |
| Chatfield Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 44% / 39% | +11.8 | +10.3 | 42 |
| Pomona Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 51% / 44% | +8.8 | +8.7 | 60 |
| Taylor Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 55% / 47% | +10.0 | +6.6 | 59 |
| Chipeta Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 40% / 33% | +9.2 | +7.4 | 62 |
| Tope Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 53% / 42% | +9.1 | +6.6 | 58 |
| Dos Rios Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 31% / 33% | +6.5 | +8.6 | 47 |
| Orchard Avenue Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 44% / 35% | +8.5 | +6.3 | 58 |
| Wingate Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 75% / 65% | +7.0 | +6.9 | 50 |
| Mesa View Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 49% / 44% | +7.8 | +5.8 | 57 |
| Broadway Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 63% / 58% | +8.7 | +4.7 | 55 |
| Pear Park Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 31% / 29% | +4.8 | +7.3 | 54 |
| Lincoln Orchard Mesa Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 39% / 37% | +4.4 | +7.3 | 47 |
| Rim Rock Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 57% / 49% | +6.7 | +4.7 | 50 |
| Shelledy Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 51% / 45% | +2.8 | −0.1 | 53 |
| Monument Ridge Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 53% / 53% | +2.4 | −0.2 | 53 |
| Fruitvale Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 29% / 24% | −0.1 | +1.4 | 39 |
| Rocky Mountain Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 21% / 17% | −1.9 | −0.2 | 40 |
| New Emerson School at ColumbusElementary · grades 3–5 | 62% / 64% | −1.2 | −2.2 | 55 |
| Clifton Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 18% / 16% | −5.2 | −2.0 | 40 |
| Nisley Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 20% / 14% | −2.9 | −5.9 | 38 |
| Thunder Mountain Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 31% / 24% | −3.6 | −6.1 | 54 |
| Loma Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 42% / 46% | −6.0 | −5.9 | 62 |
| Orchard Mesa Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 44% / 32% | +7.9 | +7.2 | 42 |
| Mount Garfield Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 35% / 21% | +5.7 | +6.9 | 58 |
| Redlands Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 62% / 57% | −0.5 | +4.9 | 51 |
| Bookcliff Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 26% / 14% | −0.6 | +1.7 | 46 |
| West Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 39% / 25% | −1.6 | −0.5 | 43 |
| Fruita 8/9 SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 36% / 35% | −9.0 | +2.1 | 51 |
| Grand Mesa Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 22% / 13% | −7.2 | −2.6 | 38 |
| Fruita Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 39% / 32% | −9.1 | −3.1 | 45 |