Based on its families’ demographics, Lewis-Palmer 38 would be expected to rank #2 of 105 Colorado districts, with 63% of students meeting or exceeding expectations in English and 55% in math. It actually ranks #7, with 61% and 53%. That is 1.8 percentage points below what its demographics predict, which ranks it #55 of 105 on performance vs. demographics. The difference is within normal year-to-year variation.
| Subject | Expected | Actual | Over/under (pts) | Rank: predicted → actual | Rank vs. demographics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| English | 63% | 61% | −2.0 ±1.6 | #2 → #8 | #58 |
| Math | 55% | 53% | −1.7 ±2.4 | #2 → #5 | #53 |
Met or exceeded expectations on CMAS, grades 3–8, 2024–2026 combined. District results include district-run neighborhood, choice and magnet schools, but not charter or online schools. ± is a 90% range for normal year-to-year swings.
Growth depends much less on family background than test scores do, so it is the closer measure of what schools add in a given year.
Parents’ education: parents of public-school children (Census ACS 2019–2023, NCES tabulation). For context, not in the prediction: all adults with a bachelor’s degree+ 58%; median household income $154,388.
| School | Met/exceeded Eng / Math | Vs. expected English | Vs. expected Math | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmer Lake Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 55% / 54% | +0.3 | +6.7 | 52 |
| Ray E Kilmer Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 62% / 61% | −3.0 | +0.6 | 58 |
| Bear Creek Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 63% / 61% | −4.5 | −1.2 | 48 |
| Prairie Winds Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 60% / 60% | −6.9 | −1.5 | 59 |
| Lewis-Palmer Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 59% / 53% | −7.1 | −3.8 | 55 |
| Ray E Kilmer Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 78% / 69% | +10.6 | +11.7 | — |
| Palmer Lake Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 60% / 47% | +6.7 | +9.8 | — |
| Prairie Winds Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 71% / 59% | +11.1 | +3.0 | — |
| Lewis-Palmer Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 66% / 49% | +2.8 | +2.2 | — |
| Bear Creek Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 70% / 42% | +3.9 | −3.9 | — |
| Lewis-Palmer Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 59% / 47% | −0.9 | −1.7 | 40 |