Based on its families’ demographics, St Vrain Valley RE1J would be expected to rank #20 of 105 Colorado districts, with 50% of students meeting or exceeding expectations in English and 42% in math. It actually ranks #15, with 51% and 45%. That is 2.2 percentage points above what its demographics predict, which ranks it #30 of 105 on performance vs. demographics.
| Subject | Expected | Actual | Over/under (pts) | Rank: predicted → actual | Rank vs. demographics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| English | 50% | 51% | +0.7 ±0.5 | #20 → #19 | #41 |
| Math | 42% | 45% | +3.6 ±2.2 | #19 → #12 | #29 |
Met or exceeded expectations on CMAS, grades 3–8, 2024–2026 combined. District results include district-run neighborhood, choice and magnet schools, but not charter or online schools. ± is a 90% range for normal year-to-year swings.
Growth depends much less on family background than test scores do, so it is the closer measure of what schools add in a given year.
Parents’ education: parents of public-school children (Census ACS 2019–2023, NCES tabulation). For context, not in the prediction: all adults with a bachelor’s degree+ 48%; median household income $108,613.
| School | Met/exceeded Eng / Math | Vs. expected English | Vs. expected Math | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Peaks Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 32% / 33% | +17.9 | +20.3 | 44 |
| Hygiene Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 73% / 71% | +10.2 | +14.8 | 54 |
| Niwot Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 78% / 76% | +11.3 | +12.0 | 59 |
| Central Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 68% / 68% | +8.5 | +11.7 | 54 |
| Columbine Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 27% / 24% | +7.0 | +13.0 | 54 |
| Longmont Estates Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 55% / 54% | +4.9 | +9.2 | 53 |
| Fall River Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 67% / 58% | +7.4 | +6.5 | 52 |
| Lyons Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 79% / 73% | +5.7 | +7.6 | 54 |
| Mountain View Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 27% / 24% | +6.2 | +5.6 | 57 |
| Erie Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 69% / 66% | +4.0 | +7.4 | 62 |
| Blue Mountain ElementaryElementary · grades 3–5 | 71% / 73% | +1.7 | +8.5 | 64 |
| Alpine Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 45% / 39% | +5.3 | +3.5 | 57 |
| Sanborn Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 46% / 34% | +3.0 | +5.6 | 58 |
| Timberline PK-8Elementary · grades 3–5 | 19% / 21% | −0.9 | +3.7 | 47 |
| Northridge Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 20% / 17% | −2.9 | +5.6 | 51 |
| Prairie Ridge Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 43% / 49% | −2.7 | +4.8 | 46 |
| Highlands Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 67% / 63% | +1.3 | +0.6 | 60 |
| Eagle Crest Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 49% / 42% | +1.1 | +0.6 | 50 |
| Mead Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 60% / 57% | −1.0 | +1.4 | 62 |
| Burlington Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 38% / 34% | −1.8 | +1.2 | 46 |
| Rocky Mountain Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 24% / 22% | −0.3 | −1.7 | 50 |
| Black Rock ElementaryElementary · grades 3–5 | 65% / 60% | −2.1 | −0.1 | 58 |
| Soaring Heights PK-8Elementary · grades 3–5 | 63% / 64% | −6.8 | +2.4 | 55 |
| Centennial ElementaryElementary · grades 3–5 | 42% / 43% | −6.5 | −0.8 | 43 |
| Legacy Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 46% / 42% | −5.5 | −1.8 | 54 |
| Longs Peak Middle SchoolElementary · grades 3–5 | 22% / 13% | −6.1 | −4.2 | 39 |
| Grand View ElementaryElementary · grades 3–5 | 46% / 45% | −7.6 | −4.4 | 55 |
| Red Hawk ElementaryElementary · grades 3–5 | 61% / 55% | −7.8 | −7.5 | 57 |
| Thunder Valley PK-8Elementary · grades 3–5 | 26% / 20% | −6.6 | −9.0 | 54 |
| Altona Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 74% / 66% | +13.6 | +14.4 | 66 |
| Lyons Middle/Senior High SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 75% / 53% | +10.8 | +3.1 | 50 |
| Mead Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 63% / 53% | +5.4 | +6.3 | 57 |
| Westview Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 58% / 46% | +3.5 | +5.9 | 50 |
| Trail Ridge Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 34% / 26% | +0.8 | +4.8 | 44 |
| Sunset Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 38% / 24% | +3.2 | +0.2 | 43 |
| Timberline PK-8Middle · grades 6–8 | 16% / 13% | −0.3 | +3.0 | 53 |
| Longs Peak Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 23% / 14% | −1.1 | +2.0 | 50 |
| Soaring Heights PK-8Middle · grades 6–8 | 62% / 55% | −4.1 | −1.6 | 52 |
| Coal Ridge Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 43% / 33% | −5.6 | −0.4 | 46 |
| Thunder Valley PK-8Middle · grades 6–8 | 20% / 14% | −8.4 | −2.6 | 46 |
| Erie Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8 | 57% / 55% | −11.0 | −3.3 | 46 |